we're already in the singularity?
may 9, 2026
i think that once in a while in life, we all have to just stop and admire the world around us, admire what kind of utopia we live in. i don't really understand why people won't just stop for a second and really appreciate things once in a while; maybe most of them are too busy.
we literally live in a world where every single human that has access to internet can talk to a machine that can think and perform tasks at a PhD level.
a world where every single kid with access to internet can use a chatbot as their personal tutor. they can wake up at 3 o'clock in the morning and decide they want to study algebra, and they can have some of the smartest polymaths in the world to work with them anytime they want.
we live in a world where we have sent skyscrapers to space.
we can fly across the oceans in a fraction of a day, a task that people used to risk their lives over just a hundred years ago. yet now it only takes around 15 hours of minimum-wage work.
we live in a world where the iphone 16 that people hold is more powerful than the most powerful computer on this planet two decades ago.
today you can pick up a phone and have a portal open up to someone anywhere in the world and see their face, their room, or anything their camera points at.
you have at your command any single song that humanity has ever produced, with the touch of a button on your phone. you used to have to spend fortunes to buy tickets to mozart. now, you have him and any other composer that has ever lived in your pocket.
an entire universe, in your pocket.
we have positioning so accurate that you can be dropped anywhere in the world and a small machine in your hand can locate you to the meter.
if you had told any of these things to a human a little more than a hundred years ago, you would have been accused of being a witch and burnt.
according to arthur c. clarke:
"any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic."
yet today, we don't admire these things when we wake up everyday. we take them for granted, if not complain about them.
childhood dreams, only 7 years later
for me personally, one of the biggest dreams of my childhood was probably ai and llms. i remember when i was a kid and i first watched wall-e and iron man. it was truly "science fiction" at that time, the idea that some time in the future, maybe a long time later, i would get to experience such technology. a time so long that it wasn't even really conceivable for a kid my age back then.
he would have had his mind blown if i could show him what's been possible only 7 maybe 8 years after.
it had seemed that somehow that captain in wall-e can talk to a robot like no big deal in the morning. yet for me now, it's just gpt-5.5 voice.
somehow iron man can write programs just by having an idea and talking with jarvis on his way in a car. i now do that every time on the bus with codex.
by some magic, people can use the holodeck and describe any world they can imagine, and it creates it within a few seconds. i do that now every single day with midjourney.
finally, one of my biggest dreams was ready player one — you can join the oasis and play with any character in the world, in any world you can imagine, with any props you can describe, as the only limit is your imagination. we are not there yet, but genie 3 is already very close.
we truly live in times where technologies described as sci-fi in the unforeseeable future are really only a few years away.
in a world where there are so many pessimistic people who find humanity's future even hopeless, i think that most people should take a different look: humanity's future has never been brighter.
i think very few people truly see how bright humanity's future is really looking.
i personally am a strong believer in the singularity. i don't really get how people can see something like ai 2027 and not believe that we would quite literally be living in a paradise on earth before the 2040s. ai intelligence is truly on an exponential. in 2021, gpt-3 had the iq of what is believed to be around a toddler. gpt-5.5 currently has the intelligence equivalent of a phd. of course it has a jagged frontier — it can optimize cuda kernels without problems but cannot beat minecraft.
the curve keeps going up. and we keep being surprised every single time.
as shocking as this is, it's nowhere near the speeds that ai development can be at. as ai 2027 predicts, by the time we have automated ai researchers, all it takes to scale up ai research is simply more gpus. right now, only about 81,000 people work on ai research in the us, with around 1,146 being some of the top ai researchers in the world. yet if a single mid-sized model can get to the capacity of an average researcher, openai currently has around 1 million gpus to deploy, meaning openai alone can have 1 million researchers. if we can achieve the threshold of an expert, we can basically have 1 million ilya sutskevers working 24/7 on ai research.
when this does happen, we just get into a recursive exponential loop. hardware and new ai breakthroughs will be discovered basically nonstop, only to train better ai researcher models being deployed even faster and better by superhuman ais on hardware we probably haven't even conceived yet.
we can then have millions of einsteins and hawkings working in a datacenter nonstop, 24/7, doing science and making all sorts of discoveries. we will have ai intelligent to a point that our human minds probably can never comprehend the discoveries and creations they will make. we would most likely have fusion solved for ai, cancer eradicated or treated with a simple injection, all chronic diseases cured, interplanetary travel becoming a daily for everyone, the eradication of starvation. we would leave our mark across this galaxy.
i firmly believe this will 100% happen before 2100 if nothing horrible happens to ai development, and 80–90% likely before 2050.
everyone alive right now will probably get to see agi, asi, and the singularity. let me say that again: everyone alive right now will probably see agi.
this means we will see progress of a century — hell, even progress of a millennium — happening within a decade, accelerated by ai.
of course right now, this 15 y/o sounds like a lunatic on crack talking to you about all of this. the same could have been said about someone telling you that in 7 years we would have jarvis in real life.
well, we will see in 10 years.